Game Scores Update: July 27, 2009

It's Monday, meaning it's GSc update day. Here we go: It was an up and down week for Jays starting pitchers,


AGSc Chg GS Starts Week Avg
Roy Halladay 62.21 +1.98 19 2 79.00
Marc Rzepczynski 56.50 -3.00 4 2 53.50
Scott Richmond 55.00 +0.00 13 0
Ricky Romero 54.60 -2.48 15 2 38.50
Brett Cecil 48.60 +4.98 10 2 68.50
Robert Ray 48.50 +0.00 4 0
Brian Tallet 47.56 -0.50 18 1 39.00
David Purcey 41.00 +0.00 5 0
Jesse Litch 37.00 +0.00 2 0
Brad Mills 25.00 +0.00 2 0

Amongst all the trade diarrhea spewing from every crevasse of the baseball conglomerate, Roy "Pitching Machine SOK-7000" Halladay had a fabulous week; he went 9 innings in both starts and for the week his line was 10H, 2ER, 3BB, and 17K. Vintage Halladay. He recorded GSc of 78 and 80 respectively in those starts. Romero had a bit of a tough week; he didn't earn a QS in either of his outings. Cecil got the call form Las Vegas and was fabulous this week; over 14IP his line was 11H, 1ER, 7BB, and 16K. Rzep's first start of the week wasn't great and he was yanked after 4.1IP over which the Red Sox scored 4 runs (only two earned).

For notables in the MLB, this week's GSc stats are,

Pos Chg
AGSc Chg GS Starts Week Avg
1 +0 Dan Haren 66.75 -1.08 20 2 57.00
2 +0 Tim Lincecum 64.20 -0.69 20 2 58.00
3 +0 Zack Greinke 63.15 +0.37 20 2 66.50
4 +0 Chris Carpenter 62.47 +0.77 15 2 67.50
5 +2 Roy Halladay 62.21 +1.98 19 2 79.00
6 -1 Felix Hernandez 61.80 +0.86 20 2 69.50
7 -1 Javier Vazquez 60.40 -0.16 20 2 59.00
8 +1 Matt Cain 60.15 +0.93 20 2 68.50
9 -1 Josh Johnson 59.45 -0.02 20 1 59.00
10 +1 Justin Verlander 59.10 +0.78 21 2 66.50
11 -1 Yovani Gallardo 58.85 +0.18 20 2 60.50
12 +3 Adam Wainwright 57.52 +0.37 21 2 61.00
13 +5 Wandy Rodriguez 57.50 +1.17 20 2 68.00
14 +0 Josh Becket 57.26 +0.04 19 1 58.00
15 +2 Jake Peavy 56.69 +0.00 13 0
16 +6 Jair Jurrjens 56.52 +1.63 21 2 72.00
17 -1 Johan Santana 56.40 -0.71 20 2 50.00
18 -6 Jered Weaver 56.20 -1.97 20 2 38.50
19 +0 Matt Garza 56.05 +0.49 20 2 60.50
20 +10 Mark Buehrle 55.55 +2.44 20 2 77.50
21 -1 Jon Lester 55.50 +0.39 20 2 59.00
22 -1 CC Sabathia 55.48 +0.42 21 2 59.50
23 +1 Roy Oswalt 55.38 +1.22 21 2 67.00
24 +4 Cliff Lee 55.36 +2.05 22 3 68.33
25 -12 Chad Billingsley 55.19 -2.18 21 2 34.50
26 +3 Joel Pineiro 54.63 +1.34 19 2 66.00
27 +0 Kevin Millwood 53.95 +0.11 21 2 55.00
28 -3 A.J. Burnett 53.89 -0.22 19 2 52.00
29 -6 Carlos Zambrano 53.89 -0.55 18 2 49.50
30 +3 Jason Marquis 53.00 +1.00 19 1 71.00
31 +3 Ryan Dempster 51.76 +0.00 17 0
32 +0 Doug Davis 51.19 -1.34 21 2 38.50
33 -7 Dallas Braden 51.00 -3.00 21 3 33.00
34 +2 Barry Zito 49.75 +1.42 20 2 62.50
35 -4 Nick Blackburn 49.60 -3.46 20 2 18.50
36 -1 Tim Wakefield 49.53 +0.00 17 0
37 +0 Derek Lowe 48.77 +0.46 22 3 51.67
38 +1 Bronson Arroyo 48.16 +0.86 19 2 55.50
39 -1 Kevin Slowey 47.63 +0.00 16 0


Halladay led last week and moved up a couple of spots to now sit 5th on the list. On the heals of his perfect game—his GSc for that game was 93—Buehrle had the second best week. His other start was a QS agaist the Orioles: 7.1 IP, 8H, 1ER, 0BB, 7K. Jair Jurrjens had a great start against the Mets which he followed by another great start against the Giants; over the week he pitched 13.2IP, 5H, 1ER, 3BB, and 10K for the third best week.

Now for the bums: Blackburn had two horrible starts. The first was against the Athletics where he gave up 13H and 7ER over 5IP; the other was against the Angels where he gave up 6H and 6ER over 3.2IP. For the week we averaged a pathetic 18.50GSc. Billingsley's week was ruined by a horrible 1.2IP, 9H, 6ER, 0BB, and 0K against the Astros; he recorded a 13GSc for that outing. Braden's week was brought down by terrible starts against the Angels and the Yankees; he recorded GSc of 17 and 24 respectively in those starts.

Again, I'm open to adding any starting pitchers to the notables list. If you'd like to see someone included, let me know.

DH woes

Recently, the Jays have been testing various players in the DH/LF position. Adam Lind aside, a few donkeys that come to mind immediately are "The Louch," BAW-tista and Millar. Well, the Royals might just have a worse problem. The first paragraph of an article in the Kansas City Star reads,

Mike Jacobs is a designated hitter who has been replaced in six of his last 13 games for a pinch hitter. This is not a good thing. He has played just three times since the All-Star break, a trend that figures to continue.
Ouch. What the fuck?

I find it amusing to read about other shitty teams eating shit.

The Halladay Saga...

We're now two days from Riccardi's imposed "Jays Line" and I'm really not sure what to think: Will Halladay get traded? Will he stay in Toronto for the duration of his contract? Is it possible that he'll resign after 2010? I thought I had a firm grasp of these answers in my own mind on Thursday. By the way things were sounding from all sources—J.P., Beaston, pretty much every baseball writer, bloggers, the whole damn baseball nation—I thought Doc was a goner for sure. I watched his start on Friday like it was going to be his last. When he walked off the mount in the bottom of the ninth to a huge ovation from the crowd, a feeling of sadness sweep over me; how could I see The Doctor not in a Jays uniform?

My feelings prior to Friday were if the Jays could get a spectacular package of MLB ready or close to ready prospects, they had to make the deal; I didn't think Halladay had any chance of resigning with the team. Halladay is certainly worth more than the two compensation picks the Jays would get if they lost him on the free agent market.

Friday's game just had the feeling of it being Halladay's last. I think this was in everybody's mind—both fans and players.

In a very uncharacteristic move for Roy, he sat down with the media for 20 minutes after his start. Reading the various transcripts of this interview gave me the feeling that he didn't want to leave. Here are a few tidbits

Do you believe you'll be here past Aug. 1?

Right now, yeah, I think I will be here. It's obviously a complicated situation, and for that reason I've never felt like there's been a big press on being moved, or wanting to be moved. I think for that reason, I think it's more of an ideal situation-type thing for the Blue Jays, and for myself. If there was an urgency to be somewhere else, and an urgency from the team to have me somewhere else, I think it would be different. I just don't get that feeling, so for that reason, I think that at this point, I feel like I'm going to be here. ...

I've always felt that I just don't have that urgency ... it's hard, because it is such a great place, and I've enjoyed being here so much, I don't feel like I'm really trying to go somewhere else. And I think just for that reason, on both sides, I don't think there's that urgency. That's just a gut feeling.


Did you tell the Blue Jays that you intend to test the free-agent market?

Yeah, I don't think necessarily in those words. For me, I like being here — whether we have a chance to win next year or the year after, I don't know. I would hope so, but for me it was more I would like to wait and see. I don't feel like I want to test [free agency] — it has nothing to do what I might get elsewhere. It has to do with I don't have a crystal ball, I don't know 100% what's going to lay in store here or somewhere else. And for me, I feel like it's just something that I don't want to look that far in the future right now. I think I would rather assess the situation when the contract's up. Again, I don't feel like I'm trying to go somewhere else. Just at this point, I would like to wait and see what's going to happen. Where's the best place to win? It could be here. It might be here. But I just don't have that crystal ball. I can't see that far in advance. And I feel like the Blue Jays have given me an opportunity to take care of my family, fulfill some of those obligations. And I think for myself, knowing that window's getting shorter, to have that chance to win, I want to make that decision knowing everything that's out there.

Did you get a chance to talk to [interim president] Paul Beeston, and did he say anything that makes you more eager to stay, or more likely to stay?

Well, I definitely feel like there's a plan in place. I feel like it's an organization that's trying to move forward, that's trying to get better. So from that aspect of it, I think there's a lot to look forward to here. But again, I think for me, it's just more of a wait-and-see. But I know Paul's done a great job. I have a lot of confidence in [general manager] J.P. [Ricciardi]. I think that the time that I've been here, he's done the best that he can to put the best team out there ... there's a lot to look forward to here. I just think I owe it to myself to kind of wait and see, and assess the situation when I have to. But I do feel like there's a lot of positives.

Does this team need major changes to win?

Major changes? No. I think the hardest part is obviously the division we're in. The two, three, four teams you're up against, two of them they can go get guys when they need them. That's the hardest part. So I don't think it's major changes — I think at some point, you need to catch lightning in a bottle. A lot of things have to go right, kind of what happened for Tampa last year. I feel like a lot of those pieces are in place, a lot of the future's there. It's just a matter of [whether it] will all come together. I personally don't believe there's major changes — I think that things are going in the right direction.

Just to clarify, you said you didn't say in so many words that you were going to test the market. Is the message that if you didn't think at that time the Blue Jays weren't ready to contend, you would test the market? Can you clarify that?

Basically all I'm saying is it's not testing the free-agent waters, it's getting to that point and seeing whether we as an organization are close. So if not ... maybe I need to look at my best chance to win. But for me it's not I want to leave, I want to go somewhere else. It's I think you're going in the right direction, but I would really like to see how close we are at that point, and make the best decision at that point. Does that help? ...

I told them I would like to wait until my contract's up to make the best decision ... As soon as they say we're interested in maybe seeing what's out there, and are you interested, I think at that point there has to be a little bit of rope. If this is what you're looking for, this is what I'm looking for. And basically, that's all it is. I don't think at that point, you sit down and [offer] a list of six team you want to go to. I think for me, it was important to make clear what I wanted to accomplish, and where I'm coming from. And I think that was important. ...

It's not I want to go somewhere else, I want to play somewhere else. I really feel like — I've fulfilled a lot of obligations, and I think you have to be, at some point, a little selfish in what you want ... I love it here, I want to stay, and I really do hope it's here. But I think for me, I've taken care of my obligations, and I feel like I would hate to look back and regret that I had this three- or four-year window and I didn't take a chance to give myself the best opportunity. And that's really all I'm trying to do, whether it's here or somewhere else.


So, in summary,

  • Halladay himself believes he'll be a Jay past August 1st. In the very least, he wants to asses the situation after his contract is up.

  • He doesn't believe the team needs any major changes to win and feels the team has the right pieces in place and a good future.

  • He doesn't want to leave; he wants to win a championship here.

The best pitcher in baseball is telling the organization to open their fucking wallets up and bring the last few needed pieces over to make the team a contender. I just don't know what will happen now. Of the potential teams out there looking at Halladay, the Phillies are said to be the front runners. The last package on the table was J.A. Happ and Kyle Drabek, along with outfield prospect Dominic Brown.

With Happ, the Jays would receive a top quality young mlb pitcher to partially fill the void left if Halladay were to leave. Drabek is having a great year in A+ and AA, but for a 21 year old, he's already had Tommy John surgery; he's considered to be the gem of the trade. Brown is rated as the number 48 top prospect by Baseball America, and his eta in the mlb is 2011; he'll be 21 at that time. The Jays also asked for Joe Saunders, Brandon Wood, Erick Aybar, and one prospect from the group of Trevor Reckling, Peter Bourjos, and Sean O'Sullivan from the Angels.

With all this conjecture floating around, it's impossible now to tell heads from tails on which teams are seriously interested and what players are being offered. With the deadline only a few days away now, it won't be long before we know for sure. As of this moment in time, my heart is telling me that Roy will stay in Toronto—at least for now.

Hey, and if Rios and Wells continue to turn their seasons around, who knows what could happen next year. We've got all that pitching coming back... oh, we've gone down this road before.

Let's watch our young pitching prospect, Brett Cecil, kick some serious ass today in the Dome.

The David Dellucci experiment has ended. Finally.

According to a tweet from Bastian, Dellucci was DFA so the Jays could make room for "Big" Joe Inglett.

Thank fuck.

Over his cup of coffee tenure with the Jays, "The Looch" was 1-24 at the dish. Not sure why the Jays chose Inglett; their biggest concern right now seems to be the DH spot. Many have been asking for Ruiz to get the call. I'd been questioning that for the longest time: why is the man a career minor leaguer? Well, maybe now isn't a bad time to give him a spot. In Las Vegas this season, he's hitting a very respectable .321/.392/.594 with 22HR and 88RBI.

One might also be asking why Snider didn't get the call. Maybe he's still recovering from his knee/back/whatever injury(ies) he's suffered in AAA.

Game Recap: Indians-Jays, Game 3.

I just don't get it: how is it that both TSN and RSN don't show a Jays' home game? This makes not fucking sense to me at all. Anyway, luckily for mlb.tv, I got to watch the game, but I was forced to endure the Cleveland feed. To add a little insult to injury, somewhere during the begining of the game—through my rage, I can't remember the exact point—Pat Tabler was shown alone in the TSN broadcasting booth watching the game. Fucking Tabby Cat—put on the damn headset and let's do this! I just don't get it.

R-zep made his fourth start of the year yesterday against Cleveland's David Huff. Marc's line was 4.1IP, 4R, 2ER, 6K, 4BB; definitely the worst of his three outings. I could pretty much describe his start today by copying and pasting my descriptions of his last three starts: control was an issue. On 92 pitches, he threw 53 strikes; this is up slightly from his other outings, but still only 57.6%. Again—like all three of his other starts—walks got him into trouble. The top of the 4th started with a single by Cabrera. R-zep then hit Shin-Soo Choo with a pitch and walked Victor Martinez. Shawn Camp was warming up in the bullpen as all this was unfolding. Here we sat, no outs and the bases jacked. I felt this to be another situation where Cito leaves his starter in for one, two, or ten too many batters.

R-zep then struck out Peralta and then Gargo, both swinging; now it was two outs with the bases still full. I was thinking to myself that the kid found his arm again and would get a little pop-up or a ground out to end the inning. No. Like his first start, he gave up a walk to score a run. He then struck out Jamey Carroll swinging.

I just don't understand how R-zep can be so up and down in one inning of play. Whatever it is, he needs to control his walks a lot better than he has. They've been the problem in all of his starts. For the season, he's now averaging 8.87 K/9 but 6.04 BB/9. Over his outings, he's averaging 4.21 P/PA. If he could throw more strikes, he's sure to win more games.

FanGraph's win probability graph shows that the Jays were in it for most of the game. The spike in the 9th came when Rios stole second to put himself into scoring position with no outs. Unfortunately, Baw-tista—all Jay fans know that's how it's pronounced, not Ba-tista like the Indians' announcers kept saying all game—Barajas and Overbay couldn't bring in the equalizer.

Rios's play as of late has been a tiny bright spot in a sky of black. Over his last 10 games he has gone 11-34 at the plate, which has him batting .324/.415/.500, with 3 doubles and a home run. Rios has also stolen 5 bases on 5 attempts over that time as well.

Today is Halladay's second last scheduled start before the "Jays Line." Should be a good one; I bet the Dome will be full.

"What, you guys didn't know that"

-Cito Gaston, on Dustin McGowan's knee surgery

Yeah, that's right—McGowan had knee surgery on July 9th. Today, Jordan Bastian reported that when asked about recovery time-lines for injured starters Shaun Marcum and Dustin McGowan, Cito dropped that bomb. Apparently, it was common knowledge to Cito.

The story goes that McGowan had surgery to repair cartilage when he injured his knee while doing conditioning drills; Riccardi indicated that the injury will take around six weeks to recover from the operation. McGowan was doing light work in the farm after recovering from right shoulder surgery last July.
This pretty much puts the lid on any hope of McGowan coming back this season.

Hopefully the knee injury is as nonchalant as Gaston's response.

Buehrle is perfect; Wise deserves first born.

Mark Buehrle threw a perfect game tonight against the Rays. The perfect outing was saved in the top of the ninth by an absolutely amazing catch made by Dewayne Wise in CF. What a grab! He almost loses it on the way down, but manages to hold on.

Gotta love Wise's point over to Buehrle after the catch with the fans going absolutely nuts.

Definitely a must see.

What if "The Trade" happens?

Rather than talk about the Roy Halladay trade itself—that's been done to death—I'd like to give my thoughts on what might happen to the Jays assuming that the trade does happen.

Riccardi has set the "Jays Line" for July 28; if a trade doesn't happen by then, no trade will happen. Although, now JP is saying this is more of a soft line than a hard line. It's clear to me that JP wants to give himself a few days to get things done if Halladay leaves—I really think he'll be selling the farm. I'd love to see Wells go, but let's be honest here: no one is going to take that botched abortion. I still have have faith in Rios, his numbers are well below where they should be this year, but I'm not ready to call it quits on him just yet; Rios plays with heart, VDub doesn't. I just wish Rios wouldn't yell at little kids trying to get his autograph.

What scares me is that Rolen might also go if Halladay is traded. Rolen is making $11M this year, and he's set to make the same next year. Rolen is also a machine built in the future and sent back in time to completely dominate the game on the hot corner. Unfortunately, he just doesn't make sense on a post-Halladay. There are a few teams interested in Rolen (Red Sox, Dodgers, read somewhere the Phillies might be interested) but maybe few will be willing to pay his salary, and apparently Anthopoulos is saying that the Jays plan on keeping him through 2010.

Marco Scutaro is another big question. He's only making $1.1M this season, and set to be a free agent at the end of the year; you can expect he'll be getting a big raise. With the numbers he's been posting this year, it's looking more and more likely that Scutes could be classified as Type-A, and Riccardi damn well knows that; he knows he'll probably get a first round and sandwich pick if they don't resign him at the end of the season. However, in the days between the "Jays Line" and the deadline, if he's offered better compensation for Scutaro, he's likely to go.

Scutaro has been quite a pleasant surprise this year. He's posted great numbers, both offensively and defensively: Defensively, for all SS, Marco is tied for third in UZR/150, and is leading the position with a 0.993 fielding percentage; offensively, among SS, Marco sits in 7th with an of .378 OBP, 4th with wOBA of 0.357, 4th with a wRC of 66, and his BB/K of 1.36 puts him well ahead of second place Derek Jeter 0.88.

Game Recap: Indians-Jays, game 1.

As I mentioned in my previous post, I didn't get a chance to watch much of the game live. I did take advantage of one of my favourite mlb.tv features, and I watched the condensed game this morning.

The starting pitchers certainly did their part in this one: Cecil line was 7.0IP, 7H, 0ER, 4BB, 9K and Lee pitched the complete game with, 7H, 1ER, 0BB, and 4K.

One this I did notice in this game was that Cecil gave up a lot of extra-base hits, but they were spread across the game, so they didn't result in any earned runs. Cecil also had a decent strike count, recording 67 strikes on 108 pitches. He also had a very good ground balls to fly balls ration at 10-4, which might explain why he gave up hard hits for extra bases, but no home runs. Brett also did a great job peppering the strike zone as shown in the PitchFx graph. He also showed great speed on his fastball which averaged 91.6mph, peaked at 93.4mph and he was able to keep excellent control

Yet another very good outing from a young arm. I'm looking forward to tonight's matching where Romero takes on Pavano in the Dome.

A heart to match his 7 gloves.

I was working last night, so I didn't get a chance to see much of last night's disappointment live—I did strategically position myself to catch the last few innings. One of the first plays that I did see was Rolen's solo shot to centre field. Take a look at the clip. Notice that Rolen sprints around the basebads; he doesn't take is precious time; he doesn't stand and watch his ball leave the park; from the moment that the ball leaves his bat, Scott Rolen hustles.

Scott Rolen has traits that many big leaguers don't have (Vernon Wells for example): integrity, heart, and is a true professional. I'd be more disappointed in a Scott Rolen trade at the deadline than a Halladay trade. With a Halladay trade—at least from what JP has been saying—we're going to get a spectacular package of youngster, or the trade doesn't happen. In a Scott Rolen trade, we might get a guy 1/2 as good on 3B and maybe a B-list prospect.

What agravates me even more is that the Red Sox are looking hard at Rolen. Could you imagine a trade to Boston where we get that useless piece-of-shit Mike Lowel and some other clown?

If Halladay does go by the "Jays Line" set for July 28th, it's probably likely that Rolen is a part of the deal, or that the Jays make a trade in the days that follow which could involve Rolen and/or Over-gay.