After his first two Big League starts were very repsectable, LHP Marc Rzepczynski got his first win MLB win. Yesterday's performance was similar to his other two starts: 6.0IP, 4H, 1ER, 4BB, and 4K—another quality start, keeping his QS to GS ratio at a perfect 1.000. In total he threw 109 pitches where 59 of those where for strikes; he his still struggling a little at finding the strike zone and, although he's striking batters out—8.00 K/9 over 3 three starts—his walks have gotten him into some trouble—5.50 BB/9 over his last three starts. Also, over his three starts only 58.4% of his pitches where strikes. Comparing this number to the other Jays starters, Halladay (68.7%), Tallet (60.4%), Romero (60.8%), and Richmond (60.8%), if he could get that number up a bit, he could dominate deeper into games. That being said, he's currently averaging just about 103 pitches per start, which I find to be impressive for a kid who has spent most of this time in New Hampshire this season.
Adam Lind continued his great offensive season with a homerun and a pair of RBIs. Scott Rolen had another great day at the plate going 2-3 with a walk and scored two runs. He also added another gem to his already long highlight real when he robbed JD Drew of a base hit on a liner near second (Rolen was player over in the shift). Overbay also had a good day at the plate, going 2-4 and scored once. It's slightly disturbing to me that trade rumours involving Rolen and Overbay are swirling around, especially since it seems like Boston is interested in Rolen to replace Lowell who has been struggling with injury. Hopefully Rolen didn't showcase his talent too well yesterday.
Vernon Wells sat out his second straight game with what head athletic trainer George Poulis described as violently explosive diarrhea. I really don't mind the outfield looking like Bautista-Rios-Lind, not at all. Although, Delucci has been playing good defence lately, but he injured his foot—x-rays came back negative—during the first game of the series. His bat has been absolutely attrocious though.
Today's game should be a pitching gem: Halladay versus Lester. This is the first of three starts that Halladay will probably have before the July 31st no waiver trade deadline.
Game Recap: Sox-Jays, Game 2
Labels: Adam Lind , Boston Red Sox , Game Recap , Lyle Overbay , Marc Rzepczynski , Scott Rolen , Toronto Blue Jays
Vernon Wells: and you thought his offence was bad.
The boys at Mopupduty.com show that Wells ranks worst among CF in the MLB.
Vernon’s UZR/150 (zone rating over 150 games) is an MLB CF worst -31.9. To put this into perspective a few players are tied for second down at -12ish... Wells’ fielding has cost the Jays 21.3 runs vs an average fielder this season. This is second worst in the MLB, only -0.3 less than Adam Dunn’s -21.6 fielding runs.
My fucking God! Sweet fucking Jesus! Adam Dunn?
Christ.
The article is worth a read.

Update: Thanks to FanGraphs, I've tracked down the complete fielding number for CFs in the MLB:
Team | UZR/150 |
Blue Jays | -29.6 |
Braves | -13.2 |
Orioles | -12.8 |
Phillies | -12.4 |
Indians | -11.5 |
Nationals | -10.4 |
Red Sox | -9.7 |
Mets | -8.3 |
Diamondbacks | -6.9 |
Astros | -4.8 |
Rockies | -4.1 |
Angels | -4.1 |
Twins | -3.2 |
Cubs | 0.7 |
Pirates | 1.7 |
Tigers | 1.7 |
Marlins | 1.8 |
Rays | 3.4 |
Padres | 4.1 |
Brewers | 5.9 |
White Sox | 7 |
Rangers | 7.7 |
Giants | 8 |
Reds | 8.8 |
Dodgers | 10.5 |
Yankees | 10.9 |
Royals | 11.1 |
Athletics | 14.3 |
Cardinals | 21 |
Mariners | 21.3 |
For all CF, the average UZR/150 is +0.3. Vernon Wells carries a z-score of -2.66; statistically he performs much worse than the average CF.
Labels: Toronto Blue Jays , Vernon Wells
Shawn Marcum AA rehab start
This is very good news, indeed.
Shawn Marcum made the start last night in a AA pitching duel between the Fisher Cats and the Connecticut Defenders. The Cats whet on to win 1-0 (boxscore). Marcum himself had a very solid outting:
IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | HR | ERA | |
Marcum | 4.2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0.00 |

Although he only pitched 4.2, he only gave up three hits on 19 batters faced.
Before this start, Marcum had made two rehab starts with Dunedin, only going a total of 6 innings over both. The Jays are slowly testing his arm; the fact that he only made two starts in HiA before going up to AA might mean that we could see him in the Big Leagues this season.
Since '05 Marcum's fastball has fallen from an average of 89.4 mph to 86.8 last year. Hopefully, in enough time, he can touch 90mph again
Vernon Wells: by the numbers
Vernon Wells has under produced this season—plain and simple. In December of '06, the club signed him to a huge extension worth $126M over 7 years; at the time it was the 7th largest contract in MLB history. Details of the contract break down as follows:
Year | Salary ($M) |
2009 | 10 |
2010 | 21 |
2011 | 23 |
2012 | 21 |
2013 | 21 |
2014 | 21 |
There are also performance bonuses:
250K | MVP |
200K | World Series MVP |
150K | ALCS MVP |
100K | Most votes in all-star balloting |
The contract also includes a full no-trade clause and Wells has the option of opting out after the 2011 season (not bloody likely at this rate).
Offensively, Vernon Wells is in the lineup to produce runs, and this is something that he has not done. Through 84 games, he has hit just .167 (15-90) with runners in scoring position, has only 9 dingers and 38 RBIs. Wells is also struggling when he is down in the count, hitting only .205 with two strikes—he loves to chase that slider down and away and every pitcher seems to throw it at him. Wells' struggle reached a unprecedented level when Cito—the stingiest litmus test for loosing confidence in a hitter—moved him from the cleanup spot to 6th in the lineup.
I'd like to push my frustrations to the side and take a purely objective view of Wells' production this season and compare him to the other CFs in the league. The only way to do this is using number: statistics and sabermetrics. Good thing I love numbers. Here's a list of the qualified CFs this year, sorted based on 2009 salary:
RK | PLAYER | TEAM | HR | RBI | BA | OPS | RC | BB/K | Salary |
1 | Carlos Beltran | NYM | 8 | 40 | 0.336 | 0.952 | 53.2 | 1.09 | 19,243,682 |
2 | Torii Hunter | LAA | 17 | 65 | 0.305 | 0.938 | 59.2 | 0.65 | 18,000,000 |
3 | Kosuke Fukudome | CHC | 7 | 27 | 0.26 | 0.811 | 41.7 | 0.87 | 12,500,000 |
4 | Vernon Wells | TOR | 9 | 38 | 0.261 | 0.721 | 46.1 | 0.64 | 10,000,000 |
5 | Mike Cameron | MIL | 14 | 41 | 0.259 | 0.84 | 50.6 | 0.62 | 10,000,000 |
6 | Aaron Rowand | SFO | 9 | 40 | 0.293 | 0.819 | 47.3 | 0.3 | 9,600,000 |
7 | Grady Sizemore | CLE | 13 | 47 | 0.229 | 0.768 | 38.3 | 0.54 | 4,766,666 |
8 | Curtis Granderson | DET | 18 | 43 | 0.254 | 0.794 | 54.9 | 0.58 | 3,500,000 |
9 | Shane Victorino | PHI | 6 | 42 | 0.314 | 0.851 | 63.4 | 0.9 | 3,125,000 |
10 | Marlon Byrd | TEX | 8 | 44 | 0.283 | 0.799 | 42 | 0.34 | 3,060,000 |
11 | Nate McLouth | ATL/PIT | 14 | 49 | 0.267 | 0.817 | 49.9 | 0.61 | 2,500,000 |
12 | Cody Ross | FLA | 14 | 49 | 0.278 | 0.833 | 48 | 0.33 | 2,225,000 |
13 | Chris Young | ARI | 6 | 25 | 0.198 | 0.661 | 29.8 | 0.44 | 1,950,000 |
14 | Willy Taveras | CIN | 1 | 11 | 0.238 | 0.575 | 25 | 0.36 | 1,500,000 |
15 | Melky Cabrera | NYY | 8 | 33 | 0.278 | 0.771 | 35.3 | 0.67 | 1,400,000 |
16 | Matt Kemp | LAD | 11 | 50 | 0.324 | 0.892 | 62 | 0.46 | 467,000 |
17 | Franklin Gutierrez | SEA | 10 | 37 | 0.297 | 0.809 | 42.9 | 0.43 | 455,000 |
18 | Jacoby Ellsbury | BOS | 5 | 28 | 0.301 | 0.755 | 50.9 | 0.69 | 449,500 |
19 | B.J. Upton | TAM | 7 | 33 | 0.246 | 0.721 | 47.2 | 0.45 | 435,000 |
20 | Adam Jones | BAL | 12 | 47 | 0.308 | 0.851 | 53.8 | 0.34 | 435,000 |
21 | Michael Bourn | HOU | 3 | 25 | 0.289 | 0.775 | 53.7 | 0.53 | 434,500 |
22 | Ryan Sweeney | OAK | 3 | 21 | 0.269 | 0.675 | 27 | 0.53 | 414,000 |
23 | Dexter Fowler | COL | 3 | 21 | 0.256 | 0.732 | 40.7 | 0.58 | 401,000 |
24 | Colby Rasmus | STL | 11 | 34 | 0.281 | 0.815 | 40.9 | 0.29 | 400,000 |
Most headings in the above should be familiar expect maybe for a couple: OPS (On-base plus slugging) which measures a player's ability to get on base and hit for powers; and RC (Runs created) which is an estimate of the number of runs a player contributes to his team. The modern formula takes many statistics into account, and is quite accurate (usually within %5) of the actual number.
Wells ranks as the 4th highest paid CF in the Bigs, with Beltran well in the lead and a relatively large grouping of players at the bottom end making less then $1M. The average salary for Big League CFs is $4,25M; Wells is over double that this year.
What's interesting to observe is the trend in salary:

The above plot shows CFs (ranked from lowest paid to highest paid) and their salaries. The results was not all that surprising for me: the trend was clearly exponential—the solid red line shows an exponential fit to the data points (For those number junkies, the actual trend line follows the function,
Salary = (149121)(exp{[rank]/4.89}) - 38885
If you don't understand what that means, then you're not a number junkie).
Basically, what the trend line shows is what a CF should make based on his salary rank. Points on the red line indicate that a player is making what he should for his rank, dots to the left of the line indicate that a player is making more than he should based on the trend, and dots on the right of the line indicate that a player is making less than he should based on the trend. Take a look at Wells (highlighted in blue): he is to the left of the line and thus is currently making more than the trend for CFs.
Here's where Wells ranks in all the above stats:
HR | RBI | BA | OPS | RC | BB/K | Salary | |
Rank | 12 | 13 | 16 | 20 | 14 | 7 | 4 |
One could make the fair assumption that if Vernon is making the 4th highest CF salary, then he should rank around 4th in all categories. He clearly does not. In fact, he ranks well below 4th in all stats that I've shown.
However, since the trend in salaries is not linear, maybe it's unfair to look at these statistics in a purely linear sense. Well, for this we need slightly more intense statistics (don't worry, this won't be too rough): z-score. Basically the z-score quantifies how a number compares to the average (technically it is the number of standard deviations from the mean); a high z-score means that a value is much higher than the average, and a very negative z-score means that a number is well below the average. Here are Wells' z-scores:
HR | RBI | BA | OPS | RC | BB/K | Salary | |
Wells | -0.01 | 0.08 | -0.47 | -0.82 | 0.01 | 0.44 | 0.98 |
Wells has a salary much above the average (z-score of 0.98) for CFs. One would would then hope that his performance in statistical categories is about this z-score as well. It is not. He is near average in 3 of 6 statistical categories (HR, RBI, RC). He's above average in only BB/K. The bad new is that he's well below the average in BA and OPS: two massively important categories for someone who the Jays reply on for his ability to get on base and drive runs in.
Compare these numbers to Beltran's:
HR | RBI | BA | OPS | RC | BB/K | Salary | |
Beltran | -0.23 | 0.24 | 1.89 | 1.91 | 0.71 | 2.68 | 2.71 |
Compared to the average salary for CFs ($4.25M), Beltran makes a shitload more ($19.24M), which is represented by the high z-score in that category (2.71). However, as opposed to Wells, Beltran also has high z-scores in RBI, BA, OPS, RC and BB/K; not quite 2.71 in those categories, but they're up there.
What does this all mean?
Well, according to the salary trend for this year, Vernon is overpaid for his rank. He also ranks below his salary rank in all 6 categories. Using a statistical approach, Wells is under performing; his z-scores rank below his salary in all 6 categories.
Now, let's remember that this is based on this 2009 salary. That all goes even more to shit when you consider he'll make $21M next year, then $23M the year after that. Oh, but there is hope the he might opt-out of his clearly inflated contract in 2011? Not a chance at this rate.
Conclusion: Vernon Wells is more of a fucking useless piece of shit than I thought. Numbers don't lie.
The only bright spot in a potential Halladay trade would be if they could package Wells and his ridiculous (or maybe even half) contract.
Labels: Toronto Blue Jays , Vernon Wells
Game Recap: Jays-Orioles, Game 3.
The Jays suffered another disappointing loss yesterday to the fucking Orioles; they lost the series 1-2 and go into the all-star break two games below .500 at (44-46). With a win by the Red Sox, the Jays now fall to 11.0 GB in the ALE: below the Medosa Line I created for myself last week.
That's it. I've officially lost hope on this season. Let's now all pray that JP doesn't completely fuck all hopes for next season. With all of these trade rumors about Halladay floating around, who knows what will happen. Am I against the Jays trading away the number one pitcher in baseball? Absolutely not. Although Halladay is signed through next season, I ask myself, what is the probability that we get to resign him past 2010? Not good. If that's the case, we might as well get some damn good tier fucking A+++++ prospects that are damn well near Major League ready.
It hurts me to think of Halladay in any uniform other than the Jays', but this is 'big picture' stuff. Do they Jays have a chance at the post season next year? Somewhat. With all these young arms coming back from the DL (Marcum, McGowan, Litch), other young arms who have proven that they at least deserve a shot at a legitimate spot in the Bigs (Romero, Rzepczynski, Ray), consistency might be a big issue next year; I'd put their chances of the playoffs in 2010 somewhere around 20-30% and that's with Roy. So, do we keep him around and probably loose him about the '10 season, or do we deal him when he's ripe for the pickin' and get something good in return? I tend toward the latter, but we better get an unbelievable package in return.
I think all Jays' fans are going to have to come to terms with one obvious fact: we will not get fair value for Halladay, in a strict linear dollar-for-dollar sense. No team has or would be willing to give up the number of prospects and players that would equal to Roy's true value (this article explains this concept quite well). In my opinion, something really good—not excellent, as what Halliday would be truly worth—is better than nothing.
Back to yesterday's game and a more positive note. Rzepczynski had another very good start. Here's the line on his outing:
IP | H | R | ER | HR | BB | SO | GSc | DEC | ERA |
6 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 52 | L(0-1) | 3.00 |
He's now 2-2 for Quality St
This all looks very promising.
Labels: Blue Jays , Game Recap , Orioles , Rzepczynski
Game Scores Update: July 12. 2009
I'll be updating my game score calculations every Monday. I've added a few headings to my database which will track changes in Average Game Score (Chg AGSc) and Position, along with the number of starts a pitcher made in the week (starts). Today, no changes will be recorded (using today as the first entry).
Here's what we got. For the Jays' staff,
AGSc | Chg | Starts | GS | |
Roy Halladay | 60.24 | +0.00 | 0 | 17 |
Marc Rzepczynski | 59.50 | +0.00 | 0 | 2 |
Ricky Romero | 57.08 | +0.00 | 0 | 13 |
Scott Richmond | 55.00 | +0.00 | 0 | 13 |
Robert Ray | 48.50 | +0.00 | 0 | 4 |
Brian Tallet | 48.06 | +0.00 | 0 | 17 |
Brett Cecil | 43.63 | +0.00 | 0 | 8 |
David Purcey | 41.00 | +0.00 | 0 | 5 |
Jesse Litch | 37.00 | +0.00 | 0 | 2 |
Brad Mills | 25.00 | +0.00 | 0 | 2 |
Rzepczynski, with a good start yesterday still remains high on the list, but with only 2 total starts. Halladay—even going winless since his return from the DL—remains at the top. Romero having pitched really well over the past month is sitting with a very respectable 57.
For notable pitchers in the MLB,
Chg | AGSc | Chg | GS | Starts | ||
1 | +0 | Dan Haren | 67.83 | +0.00 | 18 | 0 |
2 | +0 | Tim Lincecum | 64.89 | +0.00 | 18 | 0 |
3 | +0 | Zack Greinke | 62.78 | +0.00 | 18 | 0 |
4 | +0 | Chris Carpenter | 61.69 | +0.00 | 13 | 0 |
5 | +0 | Felix Hernandez | 60.94 | +0.00 | 18 | 0 |
6 | +0 | Javier Vazquez | 60.56 | +0.00 | 18 | 0 |
7 | +0 | Roy Halladay | 60.24 | +0.00 | 17 | 0 |
8 | +0 | Josh Johnson | 59.47 | +0.00 | 19 | 0 |
9 | +0 | Matt Cain | 59.22 | +0.00 | 18 | 0 |
10 | +0 | Yovani Gallardo | 58.67 | +0.00 | 18 | 0 |
11 | +0 | Justin Verlander | 58.32 | +0.00 | 19 | 0 |
12 | +0 | Jered Weaver | 58.17 | +0.00 | 18 | 0 |
13 | +0 | Chad Billingsley | 57.37 | +0.00 | 19 | 0 |
14 | +0 | Josh Becket | 57.22 | +0.00 | 18 | 0 |
15 | +0 | Adam Wainwright | 57.16 | +0.00 | 19 | 0 |
16 | +0 | Johan Santana | 57.11 | +0.00 | 18 | 0 |
17 | +0 | Jake Peavy | 56.69 | +0.00 | 13 | 0 |
18 | +0 | Wandy Rodriguez | 56.33 | +0.00 | 18 | 0 |
19 | +0 | Jon Lester | 55.11 | +0.00 | 18 | 0 |
20 | +0 | CC Sabathia | 55.05 | +0.00 | 19 | 0 |
21 | +0 | Jair Jurrjens | 54.89 | +0.00 | 19 | 0 |
22 | +0 | Carlos Zambrano | 54.44 | +0.00 | 16 | 0 |
23 | +0 | Roy Oswalt | 54.16 | +0.00 | 19 | 0 |
24 | +0 | A.J. Burnett | 54.12 | +0.00 | 17 | 0 |
25 | +0 | Dallas Braden | 54.00 | +0.00 | 18 | 0 |
26 | +0 | Kevin Millwood | 53.84 | +0.00 | 19 | 0 |
27 | +0 | Cliff Lee | 53.32 | +0.00 | 19 | 0 |
28 | +0 | Joel Pineiro | 53.29 | +0.00 | 17 | 0 |
29 | +0 | Mark Buehrle | 53.11 | +0.00 | 18 | 0 |
30 | +0 | Nick Blackburn | 53.06 | +0.00 | 18 | 0 |
31 | +0 | Doug Davis | 52.53 | +0.00 | 19 | 0 |
32 | +0 | Jason Marquis | 52.00 | +0.00 | 18 | 0 |
33 | +0 | Ryan Dempster | 51.76 | +0.00 | 17 | 0 |
34 | +0 | Tim Wakefield | 49.53 | +0.00 | 17 | 0 |
35 | +0 | Barry Zito | 48.33 | +0.00 | 18 | 0 |
36 | +0 | Derek Lowe | 48.32 | +0.00 | 19 | 0 |
37 | +0 | Kevin Slowey | 47.63 | +0.00 | 16 | 0 |
38 | +0 | Bronson Arroyo | 47.29 | +0.00 | 17 | 0 |
Cheers.
(Again, if there are any pitchers that you'd like to see added to the above list, just let me know.)
Labels: Game Scores
Game Score calculated.
Not being able to find a good database for game scores, I figure out a way to create one myself. Here is the average game score (AGSc) along with games started (GS) for the Jays' starters this season:
AGSc | GS | |
Marc Rzepczynski | 67.00 | 1 |
Roy Halladay | 60.24 | 17 |
Ricky Romero | 57.17 | 12 |
Scott Richmond | 55.00 | 13 |
Robert Ray | 48.50 | 4 |
Brian Tallet | 48.06 | 17 |
David Purcey | 41.00 | 5 |
Brett Cecil | 40.29 | 7 |
Jesse Litch | 37.00 | 2 |
Brad Mills | 25.00 | 2 |
I have also created a database for a number of notable pitchers in the league. I used pitchers who had low ERAs, high Ks, high Ws and high QSs, and also included pitchers making the big coin.
1 | Dan Haren | 66.65 | 17 |
2 | Tim Lincecum | 64.89 | 18 |
3 | Zack Greinke | 62.78 | 18 |
4 | Chris Carpenter | 62.67 | 12 |
5 | Felix Hernandez | 60.94 | 18 |
6 | Javier Vazquez | 60.56 | 18 |
7 | Roy Halladay | 60.24 | 17 |
8 | Yovani Gallardo | 60.12 | 17 |
9 | Matt Cain | 59.82 | 17 |
10 | Josh Johnson | 59.39 | 18 |
11 | Chad Billingsley | 58.50 | 18 |
12 | Jered Weaver | 58.24 | 17 |
13 | Justin Verlander | 57.56 | 18 |
14 | Adam Wainwright | 56.89 | 18 |
15 | Jake Peavy | 56.69 | 13 |
16 | Wandy Rodriguez | 56.33 | 18 |
17 | Johan Santana | 56.29 | 17 |
18 | CC Sabathia | 55.94 | 18 |
19 | Mark Buehrle | 55.76 | 17 |
20 | Josh Becket | 55.41 | 17 |
21 | Jair Jurrjens | 54.94 | 18 |
22 | Carlos Zambrano | 54.40 | 15 |
23 | Kevin Millwood | 54.22 | 18 |
24 | A.J. Burnett | 54.12 | 17 |
25 | Roy Oswalt | 54.11 | 18 |
26 | Dallas Braden | 53.76 | 17 |
27 | Doug Davis | 53.67 | 18 |
28 | Jon Lester | 53.65 | 17 |
29 | Nick Blackburn | 53.53 | 17 |
30 | Joel Pineiro | 53.29 | 17 |
31 | Cliff Lee | 52.89 | 18 |
32 | Jason Marquis | 52.24 | 17 |
33 | Ryan Dempster | 51.76 | 17 |
34 | Barry Zito | 50.71 | 17 |
35 | Tim Wakefield | 49.53 | 17 |
36 | Kevin Slowey | 47.63 | 16 |
37 | Derek Lowe | 47.44 | 18 |
38 | Bronson Arroyo | 45.00 | 16 |
Interesting to see pitchers like Cliff Lee and Timmy "Lob Ball" Wakefield scoring so low in this category.
If there's anyone you'd like to me add to the list, let me know.
UPDATE: Added to following players, so now the list contains the 15 top paid starters this season:
Jake Peavy |
Roy Oswalt |
Ryan Dempster |
Chris Carpenter |
Bronson Arroyo |
Labels: Game Scores
An interesting stat by which to rate starting pitchers
Rating the skill of a starting pitcher is very subjective. Many people look at the big three—Wins, ERA and Ks—in order to get an idea of how well a pitcher is doing. The clear problem is that wins are very reliant on the team as a whole. Also, a pitcher can record a high number of Ks, but still allow long balls, walks, run, et cetera. ERA is a bit better, but a starter can have a low ERA but not go very far into games, which would be an asset for any starter.
There's also the Baseball Writers of America system, whereby they use a random number generator to choose the best pitcher in the NL and AL at the end of each season.
I've always found Quality Starts (QS) to be a good way of rating a pitcher's performance, it has nothing to do with his team's performance but focuses only on a pitcher's performance and ability to go at least six innings into a start.
Recently, I read about a very interesting stat: Game Score. Game Score is designed to measure a starting pitcher's dominance over the game. It's much more in depth than QS, making it more complicated, but it takes a lot more into account. A pitcher starts the game with a "score" of 50. Points are then added or subtracted:
+1 | Each out recorded |
+2 | Each inning completed after the 4th |
+1 | Each strikeout |
-2 | Each hit allowed |
-4 | Each earned run |
-2 | Each unearned run |
-1 | Each walk |
Therefore, a high GS is good and a low GS is bad. Unfortunately, I can't find any database information for the GS of individual pitchers over the season, but FYI, the Jays currently sit 13th in the league with an average GS of 50.0 dead on. The Giants lead the majors with 54.6 and the Indians are bringing up the rear with 44.3.
UPDATE:
Today Halliday had a GS of 55; Price had a GS of 62.
I'm going to try and keep track of the GS for Jays' pitchers after each game.
Labels: baseball , Game Scores , Stats
The Mendosa Limbo: how low can you go?
The brooms were out in Tampa Bay today as Halladay couldn't stop the sweep. The ALE has taught the Jays a lesson over the past two series and they're 2-8 over their last 10. The Jays now sit 9.5 back of Boston, 9 games back of the second place Yankees and 4.5 games behind the Rays to sit in 4th place in the division. Before the season started, in no way did I expect the Jays to be playoff contenders. Although, April and May did give me so hope that they wouldn't be this far back a week before the All-Star Game—here we are.
No matter what, I'll always be a Jays' fan and I'll watch as many games as I possibly can. The question is, at what point do we dedicated fans neatly file away our hope under 2010? I am personally setting the "Jays' Mendosa Line" at 10.1 GB: if the Jays at any point get to over ten games back, I will officially lose hope in a good season. By "good season" I mean hope that come September, the Jays will be flirting with a wild card spot. They don't have to be in the wild card spot, I just want a little drama—4 games out would be just fine.
Alright, so when the Jays reach the > 10 GB milestone, then what? I'm throwing my hope toward another team. The question is, what team? Well, it sure as hell won't be anyone from the AL, which leads to the NL. Allow me to very quickly eliminate a few teams: Not the fucking Cardinals, because fuck them; not the fucking Dodgers, because that team shits in the same toilets as Manny "my balls are tiny" Ramirez ; and not the fucking Philles because of '93. So there go the current division leaders. I'm not jumping on some retarded bandwagon.
I obviously don't want to start cheering for a team that's in a situation like the Jays, which eliminates a few more teams: Washington (duh), Pittsburgh, Arizona and San Diego. Of the teams are left, I've narrowed it down to three: The Cubs, The Astros and The Mets. Why?
The Mets (40-43)—They've got a really solid team. Question is, are they going to get healthy soon enough? With Delgado on the long term DL and Putz, Reyes, and Beltran on the short term DL, they're missing a good chuck of change. Sitting at 4.5 back of the Phillies in the NLE, they're in tough, but they still have a very legitimate chance of the division or the WC.
The Cubs(41-41)—There's something about their starting rotation. I really like Zambrano; he's done wonders for me in my fantasy league. Former Jay Ted Lilly is having a great season in the number two spot. Rookie Randy Wells is having a great season. Rich Harden is probably their worst starter and is having a very inconsistent season (dropped the son-of-a-bitch from my fantasy team), but he could straighten out at any time. They currently sit 3.5 back of the division leading Cardinals.
The Astros (41-43)—Having starters Roy Oswalt and Wandy Rodriguez, closer Jose Valverde, and position players Michael Bourn and Miguel Tajada on my fantasy team, I've taken advantage of the mlb.tv feature which allows me to switch to games when my players are hitting or pitching. So, over the past few weeks, I've taken in a lot of Huston Astros baseball. They are just simply fun to watch: they've got power, speed and pitching. It's great baseball. They currently sit 4.5 back of the Cardinals in the NLC
For now, I'm not really leaning more toward any of the three. I'm going to continue to watch them on mlb.tv and see how they do.
It really fucking pisses me off to think that if they Jays were in the NLE or NLC as my above group of three, they'd be in serious contention for the post season. Fuck you Bud Selig.
Labels: Chicago Cubs , Huston Astros , New York Mets , Playoffs , Toronto Blue Jays
That's one big fucking $15 million mozza ball
I missed most of the Jays' game yesterday, as I got home from work at around 9:30 ast. As soon as I got home, I immediately turned on the ball game and logged onto mlb.com. My eyes went wide as I saw the news, " Blue Jays release struggling Ryan; I just about shit a fucking brick. I then proceeded to dance around the apartment praising God, Jesus, Alla, the fucking devil; basically anyone who'd fucking listen—Ding-Dong! The Witch Is Dead!
So it cost them $15 million? Finally, money well spent I say. I would have loved to have been a fly on the wall when interim president and CEO Paul Beeston had to walk into the Rogers' executive offices and ask for the money:
Beeston: So yeah, I'm going to need some money.
Rogers: Did Jose Bautista kill another group of strippers again? Fuck—he really has to stop doing that.
Beeston: Well yeah, but we're just blaming that shit on Mulliniks now. But seriously, we're going to need $15 million and fast.
Rogers: ...
Beeston: Remember when we made BJ Ryan the highest paid reliever in the League? Yeah. Not working out so well for us. We'd really like to get him the fuck out of here.
Rogers: Cash or cheque?
$15 million to send Ryan packing, that's a fucking bargain at double the price. Christ, I'd lick the inside of his jockstrap too, if that's what it took.
Reading what the club management had to say about the release is goddamn priceless. They called him the "12th man on the pitching staff. Gaston also said that he had been considering using Ryan only in "blowout situations." No shit. Considering Hayhurst has been doing well and Downs's boo-boo on his big toe (read as yeast infection in his massive vagina) is now all better, what options did they have?
Best day ever.
Labels: B.J. Ryan